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Estimation of population size of men who have sex with men in Wuhu City
Pages: 1509-1510
Year: Issue:  12
Journal: Occupation and Health

Keyword:  Men who have sex with men (MSM)Capture-recaptureMultiplier methodEstimation of population size;
Abstract: 目的 估计芜湖市男男性行为者(MSM)人群规模,为芜湖市艾滋病防治策略的制定提供科学依据.方法 利用捕获-再捕获和乘数法对芜湖市MSM人群规模进行估计.结果 应用捕获-再捕获方法得出芜湖市MSM人群为1130人,其可信区间是(844~1416);应用乘数法得出芜湖市6处调查场所(KTV1、KTV2、酒吧、公园、棋牌室1和棋牌室2)的MSM人群规模分别是1325、1648、1200、1456、1128和1429人.结论 捕获-再捕获和乘数法对MSM人群规模估计易操作,2种方法可以相互印证,且用时短,费用低,适合目前经济形势下艾滋病高危人群规模估计.
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