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hai wai kuang shan bing gou cai wu feng xian ping jia mo xing de gou jian ji ying yong ji yu ga-ahp he yun wu yuan
Author(s): 
Pages: 97-102
Year: Issue:  21
Journal: Finance and Accounting Monthly

Keyword:  海外矿山并购财务风险遗传层次分析云物元风险评价;
Abstract: 财务风险是海外矿山项目并购的主要风险因素,直接影响并购活动的成败,而财务风险的大小又受到多方因素的影响。结合矿山项目并购的特点,本文从融资风险、估值风险、支付风险、整合风险四个方面出发,采用GA-AHP法确定了各评价指标的权重,将物元理论与云理论结合,利用Matlab软件计算出各个指标的风险等级隶属度,构建了基于GAAHP和云物元理论的风险评价模型,并以我国某钢铁集团并购澳大利亚哈默斯利矿区某矿山项目为例进行案例分析。研究结果与实际较为符合,可为矿山项目并购提供相关的决策依据。
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